Housing cycles and gentrification

Journal of Monetary Economics, 144, 103550, Read

Abstract

The analysis in this paper documents a high-frequency link between housing markets and downtown gentrification since the mid-1990s. Specifically, property values and the share of formally educated residents increase more in downtown locations than in suburbs during MSA-wide housing market expansions. This relationship holds conditional on changes in MSA-level high-end incomes and is evident at short (three-year) and longer time horizons. I propose a mechanism to account for this evidence based on stronger pass-through from housing market expansions to housing costs for low-income (less formally educated) households. This evidence has implications for the effects of macroeconomic stabilization policies on inequality.